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Tag: Economist

CMHC Predicts Canadian Housing Market Activity to Stabilize in 2010 and 2011

Canadian housing market, which starts rebounded in the second half of year 2009 and early 2010 and will stabilize over the next two years, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, waits in years to come as a more well brought up rate of the mortgage and other factors offset the benefits of increased employment.

According to Bill Clark, senior economist at the CMHC: “It seems now that at least in Canada our economy is becoming just a bit more positive so that we should not see big mad swings going forward”. He further declared construction site the market of the resale of reception will become more correspondent to the long-term demographic basic principles and moves towards balanced conditions for next two years.

As Canada’s national housing agency, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) declared on Wednesday that he waits for a rebound even stronger in 2010 than before prediction. It is estimate now it will be between units of 166,900 and 199,600 this year began.

It is more of 149,081 begins in 2009 and also more well brought up than the previous predictions CMHC in March, when he estimates 152,000 – 189,300 start for 2010. In 2011, housing starts will be in the range of 148,600 to 208,800 units, with a point forecast of 179,600 units.

Reviewed estimated (mid-point) of CMHC for this year is 182,000 bets under construction and which will enliven in 179,600 units in 2011, the Federal Crown Corporation declared.

Building of unique-unconcerned new houses should augment 21 for one hundred to attain 96,100 in 2010. Growth will be shared by all the provinces, in Ontario and in Alberta, to see the biggest augments. Alone start will diminish in 2011 in 88,200.

The market of the accommodation is considered as balanced when the number of purchasers and sellers is nearly equal. The market earlier this year was marked by an influx of purchasers and a relating scarceness of ownership to be sold, resulting from the invitation to tender wars in certain markets and a strong increase in prices of sale on a national scale.

Main factor that is driving buyers to the market were lower mortgage rates that have begun to rise and changes in sales taxes that go into effect this year in the provinces of Ontario and British Columbia.

Certain purchasers were also impatient of act before in the federal rules which augmented the sum of down-payments requested for the ownership of investment which took effect last month.

The Canadian real estate market for residential property have experienced slowing down and lack of consumer’s confidence from nearly ten years now from the end of 2008 to the beginning of 2009 resulted in more recession and unemployment.

According to Bob Dugan, chief economist for CMHC “Canadian housing markets have recovered from the low levels posted in early 2009”. “Moving forward, housing starts will moderate as activity becomes more in-line with the long term demographic fundamentals. New measures introduced by the Government of Canada for government backed mortgage insurance that took effect on April 19, 2010 will continue to support the long-term stability of Canada’s housing market.”

In the second half of year 2009, however, volumes of ramped up sale and price recovered in of numerous big walked as the purchasers turned to use prices more moderate, historically low interest rate and an ameliorated economy. It is expected with an improved balance between recent demand and supply, the average MLS price is expected to stabilize through the end of year 2010 and then rise modestly next year in 2011  (CMHC forecasts and recent Canadian housing market prediction is based on information available as of April 23, 2010).


Rising Jobless Rate May Lead To Poor Credit Situations

In fact we are living in two big different classes of standard in relation to wealth, poor and rich. If part of the people are talking about they are heading towards cash shortfall then other part is unaware of any situation in which they ever felt their dream have any difference with the reality. Anyway, it all depends on the availability of wealth, power, inheritance, opportunity and luck.

Moreover, in between two extreme wealth based classes from poor to rich there is always one more class which automatically build up and its size depends on our education and experiences but it may have a bigger size than other two and it is known as middle class. These are over sensitive, law binding and very careful people and every bad or good happening directly effects their behavior, this make our society extra sensitive to make stories and news on it on daily bases like we are all going through today’s financially critical time that have frozen down majority of our investments which don’t effect any physical profit or loss but mostly these kind of people mentally feeling benefits and losses.

Today’s news which mostly taking every ones attraction in Canada is about the threat being jobless, its been critical point because this factor initiate our basic livings. Most of the people with whom I met in last few weeks no one was jobless but were having threat being one. How this kind of thinking makes some productive decisions which could make our economist to the point where they cant even get the answer with such economic downturn to compare with the productivity. I will disclose it at the bottom of the article.

Canada’s unemployment rate is expected to be in the range of 7 percent plus in May although in April it rose to 7.5 percent, from the 7.3 percent seen in March. Economists say about 55,000 jobs were likely lost in first quarter, but some say the damage could be double that number. Moreover, according to Statistics Canada first three months of 2009 saw the steepest economic decline since the Second World War; beside economists also believe that it will be improved in the second quarter. Is not it confusing on one side we are breaking a record and comparing it with world war II and other side we expect an aggressive change. Although, it will recover soon but it will take few time to come back to where it was before in the good economic time and then we can expect further record breaking positive changes which could compare with the world.

You can say that year 2008 to 2010 period is record-breaking years in which we have expected to lose so much in a short span of time, which took a long way to build. Consumers will be facing problems with their reinvestment while increasing household debt, bad credit situations and as well, the ratio of individual debt to personal disposable income will rise in both years, implying more borrowing or less money to pay the interest and the principle.

Canadians will declare substantial increase in consumer insolvencies and personal bankruptcy over the next two years in record numbers, economists said that as many as 160,000 people will walk away from their bills because of high unemployment and too much existing debt. That means the current individual bankruptcy rate of 4.3 per 1,000 people already four times as high as the one per 1,000 level in the 1980s will grow to a peak rate of almost six debt filings per 1,000 people this year and into 2010.

There is no doubt; this kind of financial atmosphere will be expecting to deliver more and more shocking news and reports from multiple resources, beside these all critical things one should not forget you are not being alone with the financial problems but you are offered substantial relief from the government fiscal programs and other private offers that you have to make an eye on it, moreover, you are already offered a substantial up size unemployment relief in the last budget.

Anyways, it’s going on all over the globe and we are still lucky because we are part of developed nations where we could get single equation to solve the problem. What time is asking to do, is to adopt a way in which you could improve your value and believe me what we are loosing today we could get more than that in tomorrow when it all will get to normal. Improve your skills and knowledge and the best way is to get further education, and if its offered in some reduced, discounted and grant form of offering then its good in less we could get more. Although this offering will not benefit all of us then at least there could be one person in our household that could benefit with this program.

Canada Study Grant is offered for students from low-income families and high-need part-time students! This grant is available to first-time students enrolled in their first year at any designated post-secondary educational institution, in at least a two-year program that leads to a certificate, diploma or degree. It covers one half of tuition costs, up to a maximum of $3,000. Canada Study Grants do not have to be repaid, but are considered taxable income. Eligibility is automatically considered when you apply for a full-time student loan; you do not need to complete any other paperwork to apply. If you are a resident of Nunavut, the Northwest Territories or Quebec, contact your Student Assistance Office for information about the financial assistance programs, grants, or bursaries for which your are eligible.

Moreover, rising jobless rate don’t seem to be effected on the immigration policy. This year’s target continues stand without any change at 265,000 new permanent residents includes up to 156,600 immigrants in the economic category, 71,000 in the family category and 37,400 in the humanitarian category. This openly states that we are still in need of some more demanding career and skill. According to Immigration Minister Jason Kenney who made clear his preference is to stick with the target, calling new immigrants the “fuel” of the economy, once it turns around. And if you have ability to fulfill demand required then you would be an ideal and more economic alternate.

Indeed it has become difficult to manage our personal finances efficiently, we have become so much confused to adjust our credit cards and personal loan payments and we don’t afford another loan to adjust these in such an unpredictable situation. We are also stuck in a situation either its feasible to adopt a debt consolidation and or debt settlement because we all have different kinds of problems and situations. Anyways, most favorite thing which market is showing up even in presence of massive output fall-off is adopting a productive approach while getting a productive credit like mortgage. This is more sensible choice, which reflects from latest housing report from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation that showed starts surprisingly rose by 13.7 per cent in March over the previous month. Availability of Low interest rates along with the lower prices for real estate definitely a solid factor to slid this up but it is also pointing towards the general people’s commitments to improve quality of life as a unit that will when combine with the economical development at whole will result in improving conditions for all.

University of Maryland economist Peter Morici says “the United Sates is headed for a depression, adding that whichever way the U.S. goes, Canada is sure to follow.”
If I believe Peter then I can have at least the Viagra’s free for the whole year in Canada! Pfizer, the world’s biggest drug-maker offers prescription program in providing more than 70 of its prescription drugs at no cost to unemployed people in America who have lost their jobs and health insurance keep taking their Pfizer medications such as Lipitor — for free, and for up to a year. Will this Pfizer is extending its offer to the Canadian market that will benefit peoples with out work?.. 🙂


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